Hurricane Season 2024 Predictions: A Glimpse into an Active Season
Colorado State University hurricane researchers expect a busy hurricane season in 2024. Warmer ocean temperatures and changing weather patterns could lead to more hurricanes forming and hitting the U.S. and Caribbean.
Anticipating a busy 2024 hurricane season due to warmer oceans and shifting weather patterns, coastal residents must stay prepared, regardless of forecasts.
As we edge closer to the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, predictions from Colorado State University (CSU) suggest we're bracing for an exceptionally active season.
With a forecast rooted in meticulous research and advanced modeling, the team at CSU, led by Philip J. Klotzbach and his esteemed colleagues, anticipates a well above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean.
An Active Season Ahead
The forecast, as of early April 2024, outlines a season with a total of 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes, exceeding the 1991–2020 averages significantly. Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), a metric used to gauge the intensity and duration of storms, is predicted to hit an astonishing 210, almost doubling the average. Such forecasts stem from the current El Niño conditions, likely transitioning to La Niña, which tends to decrease vertical wind shear and foster hurricane development. Additionally, the eastern and central Atlantic's sea surface temperatures are currently at record warm levels, a factor known to enhance hurricane activity.
Unprecedented Landfall Probabilities
The likelihood of a major hurricane (Category 3-4-5) making landfall is alarmingly high, with a 62% chance for the entire continental U.S. coastline — a stark increase from the historical average of 43%.
The Gulf Coast and the U.S. East Coast face heightened risks, with probabilities standing at 42% and 34%, respectively.
The Caribbean is not spared, with a 66% chance of experiencing a major hurricane's wrath, highlighting the urgent need for coastal residents to prepare thoroughly for the season ahead.
Hurricane Season At A Glance - Forecast Basis
This forecast is grounded in a sophisticated statistical prediction scheme honed over four decades of data. The blend of analog predictors and cutting-edge statistical/dynamical models from various global meteorological agencies points unanimously towards a hyperactive season. Notably, the tropical Pacific's shift from El Niño to La Niña conditions plays a pivotal role in this prediction, enhancing the conducive environment for hurricanes in the Atlantic.
A Record-Breaking Warm Atlantic
The Atlantic basin's temperature anomalies are a significant concern. Record warmth in the tropical and subtropical Atlantic sets a fertile stage for hurricane formation and intensification. Such warmth, coupled with anticipated La Niña conditions, paints a worrying picture for the 2024 hurricane season.
Implications, Planning and Preparedness
Given the forecast's above-normal confidence level, coastal residents across the U.S., the Caribbean, and adjacent territories must take heed. The adage that "it only takes one hurricane" to mark an active season rings especially true this year. Comprehensive preparations are vital, as the probabilities of landfall are considerably higher than average.
How To Prepare For Hurricane Storm Surges
For homeowners, business owners and emergency managers throughout communities there are innovative storm surge solutions that can help mitigate potentially severe flood damage.
It starts by conducting a thorough assessment of the most vulnerable areas around your critical infrastructure. Looking for areas that are susceptible to potential flood damage allows you to begin the outline for the ideal protective measures that should be deployed.
Once you have identified the areas that require the most protection, you can start sourcing the perfect flood protection system that fits your needs.
Gone are the days where the only preparedness measure comes through traditional sandbags that are bulky and require extensive manual labor. Modern flood solutions are designed to not only protect your properties but also provide the ability to rapidly deploy and compactly store.
Using Flood Walls, Water Dams and Flood Barriers For Hurricanes
Flood walls, engineered from robust materials like reinforced concrete or steel, can be permanently installed to provide year-round protection. Solutions such as Garrison’s Hammerhead Aluminum Flood Wall is able to utilize installed U-Channel posts on each side of a particular entryway allowing for aluminum planks to be slotted in providing various heights of flood protection.
The Hammerhead system allows for customizable lengths and heights to suit various protective needs, from residential properties to industrial sites. This flexibility ensures that specific flood protection requirements are met, whether guarding against riverine floods, flash floods, or hurricane-induced storm surges.
Benefits of the Hammerhead Aluminum Flood Plank System:
Durable Construction: The system is made from high-strength aluminum, ensuring excellent resistance to corrosion and wear, even in harsh environments.
Customizable: The Hammerhead Aluminum Flood Plank System can fit a variety of widths with center posts allowing for the connection of elongated flood protection.
Aesthetically Appealing: The sleek design of the aluminum planks ensures that the system blends seamlessly with its surroundings, minimizing visual impact on the protected property.
Quick Installation & Accessibility: Hammerhead’s individual aluminum planks can slot in and out of the U-Channel Posts easily which keeps your entryways accessible.
Another solution comes through Garrison’s Mayim Temporary Flood Barriers. These innovative flood barriers take advantage of a simple insert and lock connection system that allows you to connect multiple barrier panels in order to achieve your required flood protection length.
This innovative flood wall system consists of durable, and easy-to-assemble flood panels, making it an excellent choice for deployment against potential flood threats. With Mayim, you are able to deploy protection up to 40 inches high. The ease of deployment allows you to save on the hassle of time and manual labor that often comes with traditional flood control methods.
Benefits of the Mayim Modular Flood Barrier Include:
Modular Design: The system can be easily assembled and disassembled, allowing for quick deployment and convenient storage when not in use.
Stores Compactly: Rapid transportation and installation compared to other systems.
Customizable: These flood wall barriers can be configured to fit a variety of lengths or curves, ensuring maximum protection for a variety of property types and layouts.
Reusable: The Mayim Interlocking Flood Barrier offers excellent value since it can be reused well into the future compared to traditional sandbagging or other flood protection methods.
View The Video About The 2024 Hurricane Season Forecast
Contact Garrison Today and Start Preparing
Since its founding Garrison™ Flood Control has protected hundreds of homes, commercial properties and government facilities using our flood walls, flood logs, water diversion barriers, flood tubes, flood bags, and more.
Our systems are trusted by some of the most prestigious companies and government agencies and regularly selected by architects for their new build or renovation projects.
Start preparing now and contact a Flood Specialist today. Our team will work with you side by side in order to recommend the most ideal flood solutions to help keep you prepared and protected this coming hurricane season.
If you would like additional information about Garrison Flood Control Systems, please call 929-299-2099 or email sales@garrisonflood.com.